Headline graphic: How Covid-19 Is Affecting Real Estate.

How Covid-19 is Affecting Real Estate

May 21, 2020

I was fortunate to have one of America’s smartest real estate market predictors as a guest on my weekly national webinar for real estate agents.

His name is David Childers, and he talked about how COVID-19 is affecting real estate sales and home values. The information he shared was fascinating and insightful.

Rather than summarizing it in an article, I thought you would enjoy seeing the best of David’s slides, with brief explanatory comments by me. You can check out his website at keepingcurrentmatters.com.

The number of home showings to buyers plummeted, but is surging back.

Chart showing North American real estate showings falling sharply in March and rebounding by May.

The number of homes for sale plummeted, and is slowly coming back.

Chart showing year-over-year new listings plunging by April 25, then gradually recovering through May 9.

Moderate home appreciation over the past six years does not portend a bubble ready to burst.

Annual home price appreciation chart comparing rates before the housing crash and from 2014 to 2019.

With under 4 months of home inventory (under 3 in AZ), we are in a strong sellers’ market.

Housing inventory chart shows monthly supply from 1999 to today across buyers’, neutral, and sellers’ markets.

Recently, homeowners have been playing it safe, refinancing out a smaller percentage of their equity.

Infographic compares home equity cashed out through refinancing: $824 billion in 2005–2007 versus $232 billion in 2017–2019.

Homeowners have considerably more equity than in 2007, so they can withstand a downturn.

Infographic on U.S. home equity, highlighting 58.7% of homes with at least 60% equity.

If you’d like to watch the webinar (an hour), I posted it at kcmwebinar.com.

To my fellow Realtors, this webinar is well worth the time. Your clients need to know what David had to say.

I will be glad to share the slide deck. Just email me at [email protected].

My opinion? The housing market will come back strong, provided a new wave of COVID-related problems doesn’t shut down the economy again.

Low/mid-priced home sales will recover quickly (they already have in AZ) because there is so much buyer demand chasing a limited housing supply.

Luxury home sales will follow, provided the stock market doesn’t tank and businesses stay open.

One last thing. Some parts of the country will recover more quickly than others. But I am betting that within a few months, it will be full steam ahead everywhere.

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